Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe (April 6) projecting AITC 159-169 seats and Matrize-ABP (April 6) at 140-160, position the incumbent All India Trinamool Congress as the trader-favored winner at 61.5% implied probability for the April 23-29 West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections, reflecting Mamata Banerjee's strong rural and minority voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment. BJP's 39.4% odds capture its projected gains to 110-150 seats via urban consolidation and central leadership pushes like Amit Shah's rallies, up from 77 in 2021, though most surveys forecast insufficient for majority in the 294-seat house. Negligible odds for CPI, CPI(M), INC, and BGPM align with polls showing their minimal vote shares amid bipolar contest. Counting follows May 4.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AITC 61.4%
BJP 39.6%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,885,722 거래량
$1,885,722 거래량
2026.04.29
AITC
61%
BJP
40%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
인도 국민회의(INC)
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 61.4%
BJP 39.6%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,885,722 거래량
$1,885,722 거래량
2026.04.29
AITC
$101,069 거래량
61%
BJP
$151,734 거래량
40%
CPI
$792,255 거래량
<1%
CPI(M)
$27,185 거래량
<1%
인도 국민회의(INC)
$21,707 거래량
<1%
BGPM
$791,772 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe (April 6) projecting AITC 159-169 seats and Matrize-ABP (April 6) at 140-160, position the incumbent All India Trinamool Congress as the trader-favored winner at 61.5% implied probability for the April 23-29 West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections, reflecting Mamata Banerjee's strong rural and minority voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment. BJP's 39.4% odds capture its projected gains to 110-150 seats via urban consolidation and central leadership pushes like Amit Shah's rallies, up from 77 in 2021, though most surveys forecast insufficient for majority in the 294-seat house. Negligible odds for CPI, CPI(M), INC, and BGPM align with polls showing their minimal vote shares amid bipolar contest. Counting follows May 4.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
거래량
$1,885,722종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe (April 6) projecting AITC 159-169 seats and Matrize-ABP (April 6) at 140-160, position the incumbent All India Trinamool Congress as the trader-favored winner at 61.5% implied probability for the April 23-29 West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections, reflecting Mamata Banerjee's strong rural and minority voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment. BJP's 39.4% odds capture its projected gains to 110-150 seats via urban consolidation and central leadership pushes like Amit Shah's rallies, up from 77 in 2021, though most surveys forecast insufficient for majority in the 294-seat house. Negligible odds for CPI, CPI(M), INC, and BGPM align with polls showing their minimal vote shares amid bipolar contest. Counting follows May 4.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
거래량
$1,885,722종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including VoteVibe (April 6) projecting AITC 159-169 seats and Matrize-ABP (April 6) at 140-160, position the incumbent All India Trinamool Congress as the trader-favored winner at 61.5% implied probability for the April 23-29 West Bengal Legislative Assembly elections, reflecting Mamata Banerjee's strong rural and minority voter base despite anti-incumbency on unemployment. BJP's 39.4% odds capture its projected gains to 110-150 seats via urban consolidation and central leadership pushes like Amit Shah's rallies, up from 77 in 2021, though most surveys forecast insufficient for majority in the 294-seat house. Negligible odds for CPI, CPI(M), INC, and BGPM align with polls showing their minimal vote shares amid bipolar contest. Counting follows May 4.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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