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선거·세계 선거

웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자

Market icon
선거·세계 선거

웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자

AITC 58.9%

BJP 38.3%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$1,884,516 거래량

AITC 58.9%

BJP 38.3%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$1,884,516 거래량

2026년 서벵골 주의회 선거에서 전인도 트리나물 의회(AITC)가 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

AITC

$100,383 거래량

59%

2026년 서벵골 입법회 선거에서 바라티야 자나타당(BJP)이 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

BJP

$151,260 거래량

38%

2026년 서벵골 입법회의 선거에서 인도 공산당(CPI)이 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

CPI

$792,255 거래량

<1%

공산당(마르크스주의) 인도(CPI(M))가 2026년 서벵골 입법부 선거에서 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

CPI(M)

$27,185 거래량

<1%

2026년 서벵골 입법부 선거에서 인도 국민회의(Indian National Congress, INC)가 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

인도 국민회의(INC)

$21,707 거래량

<1%

바라티야 고르카 프라자탄트릭 모르차(BGPM)가 2026년 서벵골 입법부 선거에서 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

BGPM

$791,772 거래량

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the incumbent All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 58.9% implied probability to win the most seats in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled in two phases on April 23 and 29, 2026, reflecting recent opinion polls projecting TMC majorities of 174-184 seats despite a BJP surge. Recent surveys, including Vote Tracker on March 30 and ABP Live on April 2, show AITC maintaining a lead amid anti-incumbency challenges, with Mamata Banerjee remaining the preferred chief ministerial face; BJP at 37.3% benefits from its 2024 Lok Sabha performance leading in 90 assembly segments but trails in state-specific projections of 108-118 seats. Left parties and INC linger at negligible odds, as the contest hinges on 65-70 tight constituencies and final campaigning momentum before counting on May 4.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
거래량
$1,884,516
종료일
2026.04.29
마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the incumbent All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 58.9% implied probability to win the most seats in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled in two phases on April 23 and 29, 2026, reflecting recent opinion polls projecting TMC majorities of 174-184 seats despite a BJP surge. Recent surveys, including Vote Tracker on March 30 and ABP Live on April 2, show AITC maintaining a lead amid anti-incumbency challenges, with Mamata Banerjee remaining the preferred chief ministerial face; BJP at 37.3% benefits from its 2024 Lok Sabha performance leading in 90 assembly segments but trails in state-specific projections of 108-118 seats. Left parties and INC linger at negligible odds, as the contest hinges on 65-70 tight constituencies and final campaigning momentum before counting on May 4.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
거래량
$1,884,516
종료일
2026.04.29
마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자"은 6개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 59%의 "AITC"이며, 이어서 38%의 "BJP"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 59¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 59%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자"은 총 $1.9 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 23, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 6개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자"의 현재 유력 후보는 59%의 "AITC"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 59%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 38%의 "BJP"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"웨스트 벵골 입법부 선거 승자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.