Pakistan's emergence as the trusted mediator has driven trader consensus to 88.5% odds for Islamabad hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, following marathon direct talks there on April 11-12 that ended without a deal after 21 hours but marked the highest-level engagement in over a decade. US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led delegations amid a fragile ceasefire, with no commitments on Iran's nuclear program or regional proxies. Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit intensified shuttle diplomacy, securing White House praise as the sole effective broker for a second round likely soon, outpacing traditional neutrals like Switzerland (4.2%) or Turkey (2.9%). Traders see low risk of no meeting by June 30 (2.1%), given escalation pressures and mutual reliance on Pakistan's facilitation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트파키스탄 89%
스위스 4.3%
터키 2.9%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음 2.1%
$822,893 거래량
$822,893 거래량
2026.06.30
파키스탄
89%
스위스
4%
터키
3%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음
2%
기타
1%
러시아
1%
카타르
<1%
기타 - 유럽
<1%
오만
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
이집트
<1%
아랍에미리트
<1%
기타 - 중동/북아프리카
<1%
사우디아라비아
<1%
이란
<1%
미국
<1%
이라크
<1%
카자흐스탄
<1%
이탈리아
<1%
파키스탄 89%
스위스 4.3%
터키 2.9%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음 2.1%
$822,893 거래량
$822,893 거래량
2026.06.30
파키스탄
$183,504 거래량
89%
스위스
$76,392 거래량
4%
터키
$47,104 거래량
3%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음
$47,968 거래량
2%
기타
$54,464 거래량
1%
러시아
$30,000 거래량
1%
카타르
$29,902 거래량
<1%
기타 - 유럽
$58,334 거래량
<1%
오만
$35,914 거래량
<1%
오스트리아
$27,270 거래량
<1%
이집트
$29,510 거래량
<1%
아랍에미리트
$29,642 거래량
<1%
기타 - 중동/북아프리카
$31,136 거래량
<1%
사우디아라비아
$40,076 거래량
<1%
이란
$12,673 거래량
<1%
미국
$24,572 거래량
<1%
이라크
$20,349 거래량
<1%
카자흐스탄
$15,364 거래량
<1%
이탈리아
$28,719 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pakistan's emergence as the trusted mediator has driven trader consensus to 88.5% odds for Islamabad hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, following marathon direct talks there on April 11-12 that ended without a deal after 21 hours but marked the highest-level engagement in over a decade. US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led delegations amid a fragile ceasefire, with no commitments on Iran's nuclear program or regional proxies. Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit intensified shuttle diplomacy, securing White House praise as the sole effective broker for a second round likely soon, outpacing traditional neutrals like Switzerland (4.2%) or Turkey (2.9%). Traders see low risk of no meeting by June 30 (2.1%), given escalation pressures and mutual reliance on Pakistan's facilitation.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
거래량
$822,893종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pakistan's emergence as the trusted mediator has driven trader consensus to 88.5% odds for Islamabad hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, following marathon direct talks there on April 11-12 that ended without a deal after 21 hours but marked the highest-level engagement in over a decade. US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led delegations amid a fragile ceasefire, with no commitments on Iran's nuclear program or regional proxies. Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit intensified shuttle diplomacy, securing White House praise as the sole effective broker for a second round likely soon, outpacing traditional neutrals like Switzerland (4.2%) or Turkey (2.9%). Traders see low risk of no meeting by June 30 (2.1%), given escalation pressures and mutual reliance on Pakistan's facilitation.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$822,893종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan's emergence as the trusted mediator has driven trader consensus to 88.5% odds for Islamabad hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, following marathon direct talks there on April 11-12 that ended without a deal after 21 hours but marked the highest-level engagement in over a decade. US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led delegations amid a fragile ceasefire, with no commitments on Iran's nuclear program or regional proxies. Pakistan's army chief Asim Munir's April 15 Tehran visit intensified shuttle diplomacy, securing White House praise as the sole effective broker for a second round likely soon, outpacing traditional neutrals like Switzerland (4.2%) or Turkey (2.9%). Traders see low risk of no meeting by June 30 (2.1%), given escalation pressures and mutual reliance on Pakistan's facilitation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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