The overwhelming trader consensus favoring Pakistan at 88.5% stems from Islamabad's recent hosting of the first direct US-Iran talks since 1979, held April 11-12 at the Serena Hotel under heavy security following a two-week ceasefire after intense hostilities. That 21-hour session ended without a deal on nuclear issues, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions, but Pakistani officials proposed a second round there imminently—echoed by President Trump's statement that round two is likely in Pakistan as the conflict nears resolution. Switzerland and Turkey trail as traditional neutral venues amid Pakistan's mediator role, bolstered by Army Chief Asim Munir's Tehran visit, while no-meeting odds remain low given active diplomacy before June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트파키스탄 89%
스위스 3.9%
터키 2.9%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음 2.3%
$767,809 거래량
$767,809 거래량
파키스탄
89%
스위스
4%
터키
3%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음
2%
기타 - 유럽
1%
기타
1%
러시아
1%
카타르
1%
오만
<1%
이집트
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
아랍에미리트
<1%
기타 - 중동/북아프리카
<1%
사우디아라비아
<1%
이탈리아
<1%
이란
<1%
미국
<1%
이라크
<1%
카자흐스탄
<1%
파키스탄 89%
스위스 3.9%
터키 2.9%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음 2.3%
$767,809 거래량
$767,809 거래량
파키스탄
89%
스위스
4%
터키
3%
6월 30일까지 회담 없음
2%
기타 - 유럽
1%
기타
1%
러시아
1%
카타르
1%
오만
<1%
이집트
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
아랍에미리트
<1%
기타 - 중동/북아프리카
<1%
사우디아라비아
<1%
이탈리아
<1%
이란
<1%
미국
<1%
이라크
<1%
카자흐스탄
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming trader consensus favoring Pakistan at 88.5% stems from Islamabad's recent hosting of the first direct US-Iran talks since 1979, held April 11-12 at the Serena Hotel under heavy security following a two-week ceasefire after intense hostilities. That 21-hour session ended without a deal on nuclear issues, Strait of Hormuz access, and sanctions, but Pakistani officials proposed a second round there imminently—echoed by President Trump's statement that round two is likely in Pakistan as the conflict nears resolution. Switzerland and Turkey trail as traditional neutral venues amid Pakistan's mediator role, bolstered by Army Chief Asim Munir's Tehran visit, while no-meeting odds remain low given active diplomacy before June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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