Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE actas processed as of April 16, but second place remains tightly contested among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12%), Jorge Nieto (11%), and Alfonso López Chau, driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 68% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls showed a fragmented field of 35 candidates with no frontrunner above 12%, and rural vote tallies have shifted dynamics away from early urban leads for López Aliaga. His unsubstantiated fraud claims and logistical delays in counting have heightened uncertainty, though observers report no evidence of irregularities, positioning Fujimori-López Aliaga as a viable but competitive 33% scenario amid ongoing certification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트기타 66.2%
로페스 알리아가 & 후지모리 34%
후지모리 & 니에토 <1%
로페스 알리아가 & 로페스 차우 <1%
$990,848 거래량
$990,848 거래량
2026.04.12
기타
66%
로페스 알리아가 & 후지모리
34%
후지모리 & 니에토
1%
로페스 알리아가 & 로페스 차우
<1%
로페스 알리가 & 니에토
<1%
로페스 차우 & 후지모리
<1%
로페스 차우 & 니에토
<1%
로페스 차우 & 산체스 팔로미노
<1%
로페스 알리가 & 산체스 팔로미노
<1%
로페스 알리아가 & 그로조
<1%
기타 66.2%
로페스 알리아가 & 후지모리 34%
후지모리 & 니에토 <1%
로페스 알리아가 & 로페스 차우 <1%
$990,848 거래량
$990,848 거래량
2026.04.12
기타
$250,717 거래량
66%
로페스 알리아가 & 후지모리
$328,097 거래량
34%
후지모리 & 니에토
$199,100 거래량
1%
로페스 알리아가 & 로페스 차우
$24,017 거래량
<1%
로페스 알리가 & 니에토
$32,793 거래량
<1%
로페스 차우 & 후지모리
$67,800 거래량
<1%
로페스 차우 & 니에토
$16,487 거래량
<1%
로페스 차우 & 산체스 팔로미노
$24,264 거래량
<1%
로페스 알리가 & 산체스 팔로미노
$37,670 거래량
<1%
로페스 알리아가 & 그로조
$9,953 거래량
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE actas processed as of April 16, but second place remains tightly contested among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12%), Jorge Nieto (11%), and Alfonso López Chau, driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 68% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls showed a fragmented field of 35 candidates with no frontrunner above 12%, and rural vote tallies have shifted dynamics away from early urban leads for López Aliaga. His unsubstantiated fraud claims and logistical delays in counting have heightened uncertainty, though observers report no evidence of irregularities, positioning Fujimori-López Aliaga as a viable but competitive 33% scenario amid ongoing certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
거래량
$990,848종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE actas processed as of April 16, but second place remains tightly contested among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12%), Jorge Nieto (11%), and Alfonso López Chau, driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 68% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls showed a fragmented field of 35 candidates with no frontrunner above 12%, and rural vote tallies have shifted dynamics away from early urban leads for López Aliaga. His unsubstantiated fraud claims and logistical delays in counting have heightened uncertainty, though observers report no evidence of irregularities, positioning Fujimori-López Aliaga as a viable but competitive 33% scenario amid ongoing certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
거래량
$990,848종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE actas processed as of April 16, but second place remains tightly contested among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12%), Jorge Nieto (11%), and Alfonso López Chau, driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 68% implied probability for the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls showed a fragmented field of 35 candidates with no frontrunner above 12%, and rural vote tallies have shifted dynamics away from early urban leads for López Aliaga. His unsubstantiated fraud claims and logistical delays in counting have heightened uncertainty, though observers report no evidence of irregularities, positioning Fujimori-López Aliaga as a viable but competitive 33% scenario amid ongoing certification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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