In the open-seat NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% implied probability, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of her former policy director and confirmed $5 million from Michael Bloomberg to a supporting super PAC, as revealed in recent FEC filings. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds second at 29.5% with strong cash-on-hand exceeding $2.3 million, while Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early March polls showing his lead via Kennedy name recognition. No public polls post-April 1 exist, but the crowded field of over 10 candidates underscores endorsement momentum and fundraising as key path-to-victory factors ahead of early voting starting June 13.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Micah Lasher 50%
알렉스 보어스 30%
잭 슐로스버그 14%
스콧 스트링거 1.5%
$166,823 거래량
$166,823 거래량
2026.06.23
Micah Lasher
50%
알렉스 보어스
30%
잭 슐로스버그
14%
스콧 스트링거
2%
조지 콘웨이
1%
브래드 랜더
1%
리즈 크루거
1%
리나 칸
1%
줄리 메닌
1%
에릭 보처
<1%
앤드루 쿠오모
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
카메론 캐스키
<1%
캐롤린 말로니
<1%
첼시 클린턴
<1%
신시아 닉슨
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
브래드 호일만-시갈
<1%
게일 브루어
<1%
Micah Lasher 50%
알렉스 보어스 30%
잭 슐로스버그 14%
스콧 스트링거 1.5%
$166,823 거래량
$166,823 거래량
2026.06.23
Micah Lasher
$5,712 거래량
50%
알렉스 보어스
$3,498 거래량
30%
잭 슐로스버그
$7,369 거래량
14%
스콧 스트링거
$8,071 거래량
2%
조지 콘웨이
$1,673 거래량
1%
브래드 랜더
$11,412 거래량
1%
리즈 크루거
$37,054 거래량
1%
리나 칸
$39,333 거래량
1%
줄리 메닌
$23,068 거래량
1%
에릭 보처
$2,094 거래량
<1%
앤드루 쿠오모
$1,759 거래량
<1%
Keith Powers
$3,415 거래량
<1%
카메론 캐스키
$2,574 거래량
<1%
캐롤린 말로니
$2,110 거래량
<1%
첼시 클린턴
$7,373 거래량
<1%
신시아 닉슨
$2,138 거래량
<1%
Liam Elkind
$1,674 거래량
<1%
브래드 호일만-시갈
$5,013 거래량
<1%
게일 브루어
$1,481 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% implied probability, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of her former policy director and confirmed $5 million from Michael Bloomberg to a supporting super PAC, as revealed in recent FEC filings. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds second at 29.5% with strong cash-on-hand exceeding $2.3 million, while Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early March polls showing his lead via Kennedy name recognition. No public polls post-April 1 exist, but the crowded field of over 10 candidates underscores endorsement momentum and fundraising as key path-to-victory factors ahead of early voting starting June 13.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
거래량
$166,823종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% implied probability, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of her former policy director and confirmed $5 million from Michael Bloomberg to a supporting super PAC, as revealed in recent FEC filings. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds second at 29.5% with strong cash-on-hand exceeding $2.3 million, while Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early March polls showing his lead via Kennedy name recognition. No public polls post-April 1 exist, but the crowded field of over 10 candidates underscores endorsement momentum and fundraising as key path-to-victory factors ahead of early voting starting June 13.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$166,823종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open-seat NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblyman Micah Lasher at 49.5% implied probability, propelled by Gov. Kathy Hochul's April 13 endorsement of her former policy director and confirmed $5 million from Michael Bloomberg to a supporting super PAC, as revealed in recent FEC filings. Assemblyman Alex Bores holds second at 29.5% with strong cash-on-hand exceeding $2.3 million, while Jack Schlossberg trails at 14% despite early March polls showing his lead via Kennedy name recognition. No public polls post-April 1 exist, but the crowded field of over 10 candidates underscores endorsement momentum and fundraising as key path-to-victory factors ahead of early voting starting June 13.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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