Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition for an independence referendum has propelled trader consensus to 67% for a province scheduling a vote to leave Canada before 2027, fueled by claims of surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold by late March 2026. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an October 19 provincial referendum on immigration controls, social services eligibility, and constitutional amendments enhancing autonomy—though not secession—has amplified sovereignty tensions without her support for separation. A April 10 court stay paused signature verification amid First Nations challenges over treaty rights and constitutionality, with collection ongoing until May 2 and a hearing expected by May; traders anticipate legislative action or resolution enabling scheduling despite hurdles. Quebec sovereignty polls remain low, with no firm referendum plans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$341,814 거래량
$341,814 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$341,814 거래량
$341,814 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition for an independence referendum has propelled trader consensus to 67% for a province scheduling a vote to leave Canada before 2027, fueled by claims of surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold by late March 2026. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an October 19 provincial referendum on immigration controls, social services eligibility, and constitutional amendments enhancing autonomy—though not secession—has amplified sovereignty tensions without her support for separation. A April 10 court stay paused signature verification amid First Nations challenges over treaty rights and constitutionality, with collection ongoing until May 2 and a hearing expected by May; traders anticipate legislative action or resolution enabling scheduling despite hurdles. Quebec sovereignty polls remain low, with no firm referendum plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ET
거래량
$341,814종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition for an independence referendum has propelled trader consensus to 67% for a province scheduling a vote to leave Canada before 2027, fueled by claims of surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold by late March 2026. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an October 19 provincial referendum on immigration controls, social services eligibility, and constitutional amendments enhancing autonomy—though not secession—has amplified sovereignty tensions without her support for separation. A April 10 court stay paused signature verification amid First Nations challenges over treaty rights and constitutionality, with collection ongoing until May 2 and a hearing expected by May; traders anticipate legislative action or resolution enabling scheduling despite hurdles. Quebec sovereignty polls remain low, with no firm referendum plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$341,814종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta separatists' citizen initiative petition for an independence referendum has propelled trader consensus to 67% for a province scheduling a vote to leave Canada before 2027, fueled by claims of surpassing the 177,732-signature threshold by late March 2026. Premier Danielle Smith's February announcement of an October 19 provincial referendum on immigration controls, social services eligibility, and constitutional amendments enhancing autonomy—though not secession—has amplified sovereignty tensions without her support for separation. A April 10 court stay paused signature verification amid First Nations challenges over treaty rights and constitutionality, with collection ongoing until May 2 and a hearing expected by May; traders anticipate legislative action or resolution enabling scheduling despite hurdles. Quebec sovereignty polls remain low, with no firm referendum plans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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