Recent affirmations of stable outlooks by S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s underpin trader expectations that another US sovereign downgrade is unlikely before 2027. All three agencies rate the US at AA+ or Aa1, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and credible monetary policy as offsets to elevated deficits near 6% of GDP and debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fitch and S&P reaffirmed these ratings with stable outlooks in mid-2026, noting that bipartisan cooperation on spending restraint remains limited yet Congress has historically addressed the debt ceiling in time to avoid default risks. The next potential ceiling deadline falls around mid-2027, outside the market’s window, while agencies have highlighted structural fiscal pressures without signaling near-term rating changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
13% szansa
$13,112 Wol.
$13,112 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
13% szansa
$13,112 Wol.
$13,112 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of stable outlooks by S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s underpin trader expectations that another US sovereign downgrade is unlikely before 2027. All three agencies rate the US at AA+ or Aa1, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and credible monetary policy as offsets to elevated deficits near 6% of GDP and debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fitch and S&P reaffirmed these ratings with stable outlooks in mid-2026, noting that bipartisan cooperation on spending restraint remains limited yet Congress has historically addressed the debt ceiling in time to avoid default risks. The next potential ceiling deadline falls around mid-2027, outside the market’s window, while agencies have highlighted structural fiscal pressures without signaling near-term rating changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,112Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of stable outlooks by S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s underpin trader expectations that another US sovereign downgrade is unlikely before 2027. All three agencies rate the US at AA+ or Aa1, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and credible monetary policy as offsets to elevated deficits near 6% of GDP and debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fitch and S&P reaffirmed these ratings with stable outlooks in mid-2026, noting that bipartisan cooperation on spending restraint remains limited yet Congress has historically addressed the debt ceiling in time to avoid default risks. The next potential ceiling deadline falls around mid-2027, outside the market’s window, while agencies have highlighted structural fiscal pressures without signaling near-term rating changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$13,112Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations of stable outlooks by S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s underpin trader expectations that another US sovereign downgrade is unlikely before 2027. All three agencies rate the US at AA+ or Aa1, citing economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and credible monetary policy as offsets to elevated deficits near 6% of GDP and debt exceeding $40 trillion. Fitch and S&P reaffirmed these ratings with stable outlooks in mid-2026, noting that bipartisan cooperation on spending restraint remains limited yet Congress has historically addressed the debt ceiling in time to avoid default risks. The next potential ceiling deadline falls around mid-2027, outside the market’s window, while agencies have highlighted structural fiscal pressures without signaling near-term rating changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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