Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$581,636 Wol.
$581,636 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$581,636 Wol.
$581,636 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
21°C or below
$18,446 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,539 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,466 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,278 Wol.
No
25°C
$26,970 Wol.
No
26°C
$29,152 Wol.
No
27°C
$59,288 Wol.
No
28°C
$246,538 Wol.
No
29°C
$110,327 Wol.
Yes
30°C
$45,915 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$27,717 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$581,636Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$581,636Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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