**Current forecasts from multiple models place the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara on August 30 in the 12–15 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.** Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and its continental location favor strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dew points in the 11–13 °C range limiting further drops. Recent model runs show consensus on dry conditions and minimal cloud cover overnight, producing lows near the seasonal late-August average for the city. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of clearing, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C at the official station. With resolution imminent, trader sentiment reflects this narrow ensemble spread and the absence of any disruptive weather systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
18°C 41%
15°C 40%
12°C 40%
14°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
25%
10°C
4%
11°C
32%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
35%
15°C
40%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
41%
19°C or higher
<1%
18°C 41%
15°C 40%
12°C 40%
14°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
25%
10°C
$0 Wol.
4%
11°C
$0 Wol.
32%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
29%
14°C
$0 Wol.
35%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$5 Wol.
9%
18°C
$5 Wol.
41%
19°C or higher
$145 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models place the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara on August 30 in the 12–15 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.**
Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and its continental location favor strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dew points in the 11–13 °C range limiting further drops. Recent model runs show consensus on dry conditions and minimal cloud cover overnight, producing lows near the seasonal late-August average for the city. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of clearing, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C at the official station. With resolution imminent, trader sentiment reflects this narrow ensemble spread and the absence of any disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models place the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara on August 30 in the 12–15 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.**
Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and its continental location favor strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dew points in the 11–13 °C range limiting further drops. Recent model runs show consensus on dry conditions and minimal cloud cover overnight, producing lows near the seasonal late-August average for the city. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of clearing, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C at the official station. With resolution imminent, trader sentiment reflects this narrow ensemble spread and the absence of any disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models place the overnight minimum temperature in Ankara on August 30 in the 12–15 °C range, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C.** Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and its continental location favor strong radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dew points in the 11–13 °C range limiting further drops. Recent model runs show consensus on dry conditions and minimal cloud cover overnight, producing lows near the seasonal late-August average for the city. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from minor variations in predicted wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of clearing, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C at the official station. With resolution imminent, trader sentiment reflects this narrow ensemble spread and the absence of any disruptive weather systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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