Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,844 Wol.
$25,844 Wol.
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,844 Wol.
$25,844 Wol.
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
$961 Wol.
No
19°C
$548 Wol.
No
20°C
$567 Wol.
No
21°C
$939 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,740 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,542 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,417 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$5,075 Wol.
No
26°C
$604 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,292 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,159 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,844Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$25,844Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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