Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 18–19°C on September 13, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from GFS and similar systems shows a seasonal transition toward autumn norms, with historical September lows near 16–18°C providing context, though current runs trend slightly warmer. Market-implied probabilities, led by the 15°C-or-below outcome at 44.5%, appear to embed uncertainty from potential model revisions, variable precipitation timing, or localized urban effects on readings. Key upcoming factors include refined short-range model runs and any late adjustments from regional monitoring agencies before the overnight period resolves the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 13?
15°C or below 93%
19°C 44%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
93%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 93%
19°C 44%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
93%
16°C
$32 Wol.
40%
17°C
$132 Wol.
40%
18°C
$157 Wol.
40%
19°C
$7 Wol.
24%
20°C
$5 Wol.
24%
21°C
$0 Wol.
19%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$15 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 18–19°C on September 13, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from GFS and similar systems shows a seasonal transition toward autumn norms, with historical September lows near 16–18°C providing context, though current runs trend slightly warmer. Market-implied probabilities, led by the 15°C-or-below outcome at 44.5%, appear to embed uncertainty from potential model revisions, variable precipitation timing, or localized urban effects on readings. Key upcoming factors include refined short-range model runs and any late adjustments from regional monitoring agencies before the overnight period resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$378Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 18–19°C on September 13, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from GFS and similar systems shows a seasonal transition toward autumn norms, with historical September lows near 16–18°C providing context, though current runs trend slightly warmer. Market-implied probabilities, led by the 15°C-or-below outcome at 44.5%, appear to embed uncertainty from potential model revisions, variable precipitation timing, or localized urban effects on readings. Key upcoming factors include refined short-range model runs and any late adjustments from regional monitoring agencies before the overnight period resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$378Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 18–19°C on September 13, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Model consensus from GFS and similar systems shows a seasonal transition toward autumn norms, with historical September lows near 16–18°C providing context, though current runs trend slightly warmer. Market-implied probabilities, led by the 15°C-or-below outcome at 44.5%, appear to embed uncertainty from potential model revisions, variable precipitation timing, or localized urban effects on readings. Key upcoming factors include refined short-range model runs and any late adjustments from regional monitoring agencies before the overnight period resolves the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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