**Persistent thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Milan today are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 17–19°C as the day's minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources like GFS and ECMWF show daytime highs near 23–24°C giving way to overnight conditions with high humidity (dew points ~18–19°C), light easterly winds, and widespread precipitation that limits radiational cooling. This setup favors a low in the upper teens Celsius rather than sharper drops possible under clear skies. Minor model differences in storm timing, cloud thickness, and any brief clearing windows create the tight clustering of implied probabilities across 16–20°C outcomes, with lower or higher extremes remaining improbable given current atmospheric moisture and pressure patterns. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
17°C 49%
19°C 48%
16°C 44%
18°C 44%
$1,538 Wol.
$1,538 Wol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
44%
17°C
49%
18°C
44%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 49%
19°C 48%
16°C 44%
18°C 44%
$1,538 Wol.
$1,538 Wol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
44%
17°C
49%
18°C
44%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover over Milan today are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment around 17–19°C as the day's minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources like GFS and ECMWF show daytime highs near 23–24°C giving way to overnight conditions with high humidity (dew points ~18–19°C), light easterly winds, and widespread precipitation that limits radiational cooling. This setup favors a low in the upper teens Celsius rather than sharper drops possible under clear skies. Minor model differences in storm timing, cloud thickness, and any brief clearing windows create the tight clustering of implied probabilities across 16–20°C outcomes, with lower or higher extremes remaining improbable given current atmospheric moisture and pressure patterns. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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