Minnesota's 5th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74 percent share in the prior general election. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary field remains limited with minimal momentum. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent implied probability for the November 3 general election. A primary upset or late-cycle development could theoretically shift the outcome, though both face significant barriers given the district's consistent voting patterns and urban Minneapolis demographics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$40,820 Wol.
$40,820 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$40,820 Wol.
$40,820 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,817 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$24,002 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74 percent share in the prior general election. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary field remains limited with minimal momentum. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent implied probability for the November 3 general election. A primary upset or late-cycle development could theoretically shift the outcome, though both face significant barriers given the district's consistent voting patterns and urban Minneapolis demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,820Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74 percent share in the prior general election. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary field remains limited with minimal momentum. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent implied probability for the November 3 general election. A primary upset or late-cycle development could theoretically shift the outcome, though both face significant barriers given the district's consistent voting patterns and urban Minneapolis demographics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$40,820Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 74 percent share in the prior general election. Ilhan Omar's decision to seek re-election has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, while the Republican primary field remains limited with minimal momentum. All major race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent implied probability for the November 3 general election. A primary upset or late-cycle development could theoretically shift the outcome, though both face significant barriers given the district's consistent voting patterns and urban Minneapolis demographics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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