Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, driven by insurmountable constitutional, legal, and geopolitical barriers under Article IV, which requires a territory's petition, popular referendum, and congressional approval—none of which exist amid Venezuela's sovereign government under Nicolás Maduro and international recognition. President Trump's March 17, 2026, offhand remark suggesting statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy generated brief social media buzz but prompted no official diplomatic initiatives, petitions, or legislative action. Recent U.S. embassy reopening in Caracas signals thawing bilateral relations but falls far short of territorial status. Realistic shifts would demand total regime collapse, U.S. military occupation, and improbable supermajority Senate consent, scenarios traders deem near-impossible without global upheaval.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Venezuela become 51st state?
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
$131,616 Wol.
$131,616 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$131,616 Wol.
$131,616 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, driven by insurmountable constitutional, legal, and geopolitical barriers under Article IV, which requires a territory's petition, popular referendum, and congressional approval—none of which exist amid Venezuela's sovereign government under Nicolás Maduro and international recognition. President Trump's March 17, 2026, offhand remark suggesting statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy generated brief social media buzz but prompted no official diplomatic initiatives, petitions, or legislative action. Recent U.S. embassy reopening in Caracas signals thawing bilateral relations but falls far short of territorial status. Realistic shifts would demand total regime collapse, U.S. military occupation, and improbable supermajority Senate consent, scenarios traders deem near-impossible without global upheaval.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$131,616Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, driven by insurmountable constitutional, legal, and geopolitical barriers under Article IV, which requires a territory's petition, popular referendum, and congressional approval—none of which exist amid Venezuela's sovereign government under Nicolás Maduro and international recognition. President Trump's March 17, 2026, offhand remark suggesting statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy generated brief social media buzz but prompted no official diplomatic initiatives, petitions, or legislative action. Recent U.S. embassy reopening in Caracas signals thawing bilateral relations but falls far short of territorial status. Realistic shifts would demand total regime collapse, U.S. military occupation, and improbable supermajority Senate consent, scenarios traders deem near-impossible without global upheaval.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$131,616Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% on Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood, driven by insurmountable constitutional, legal, and geopolitical barriers under Article IV, which requires a territory's petition, popular referendum, and congressional approval—none of which exist amid Venezuela's sovereign government under Nicolás Maduro and international recognition. President Trump's March 17, 2026, offhand remark suggesting statehood after Venezuela's World Baseball Classic semifinal win over Italy generated brief social media buzz but prompted no official diplomatic initiatives, petitions, or legislative action. Recent U.S. embassy reopening in Caracas signals thawing bilateral relations but falls far short of territorial status. Realistic shifts would demand total regime collapse, U.S. military occupation, and improbable supermajority Senate consent, scenarios traders deem near-impossible without global upheaval.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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