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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

83%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$695K Vol.

$192K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

83%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$17M Vol.

$61.5K today

$2M Liq.

124

Ends in 6 months

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

8%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

$2M Vol.

$452K Liq.

60

Ends in 27 days

Khamenei # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

85%

<5

$869 Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Khamenei # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

Khamenei # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

56%

<5

$2.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

67%

<5

$5.9K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

47%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$109K today

$224K Liq.

299

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$19M Vol.

$273K Liq.

1,082

Ends in 6 months

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

6%

December 31

$145K Vol.

$67.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

9%

December 31

$533K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 6 months

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?

62%

$921 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

50%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$233K Vol.

$173K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$932K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

47

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

2%

$157K Vol.

$296K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

$21M Vol.

$665K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

$611K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

25

Ends in 6 months

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

7%

July 31

$992K Vol.

$234K Liq.

24

Ends in 27 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

6%

December 31

$22M Vol.

$118K Liq.

420

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

20%

December 31

$842K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

36

Ends in 6 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%

$12M Vol.

$140K Liq.

50

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $102.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.