Market icon
Geopolítica·Líbano

Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Líbano

Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?

Sim

17% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

17% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no additional expulsion of an Iranian diplomat by April 30, reflecting a pause in diplomatic escalations after Argentina's April 2 declaration of Iran's chargé d'affaires persona non grata over IRGC terrorist designation disputes. This follows a March wave of actions—Qatar and Saudi Arabia expelling Iranian military attachés amid regional attacks, and Lebanon ordering Iran's ambassador-designate to depart—prompted by Iran's proxy aggressions. Recent U.S. disclosure of a December 2025 expulsion of Iran's deputy UN envoy underscores prior national security measures but signals no fresh triggers. Absent new airstrikes, sanctions, or official rebukes in the past week, markets anticipate de-escalation despite persistent Middle East tensions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,216
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no additional expulsion of an Iranian diplomat by April 30, reflecting a pause in diplomatic escalations after Argentina's April 2 declaration of Iran's chargé d'affaires persona non grata over IRGC terrorist designation disputes. This follows a March wave of actions—Qatar and Saudi Arabia expelling Iranian military attachés amid regional attacks, and Lebanon ordering Iran's ambassador-designate to depart—prompted by Iran's proxy aggressions. Recent U.S. disclosure of a December 2025 expulsion of Iran's deputy UN envoy underscores prior national security measures but signals no fresh triggers. Absent new airstrikes, sanctions, or official rebukes in the past week, markets anticipate de-escalation despite persistent Middle East tensions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,216
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro diplomata iraniano será expulso até 30 de abril?" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?" is "Outro diplomata iraniano será expulso até 30 de abril?" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Outro diplomata iraniano expulso até 30 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.