National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 82°F in Dallas on April 12, driving the 89% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher at Dallas Love Field, well above the April climatological normal of 77°F. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm southerly flow and above-normal spring conditions per NOAA's outlook, with only a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms likely insufficient to significantly suppress peaks despite potential isolated cloud cover. Trader consensus acknowledges minor uncertainty from convective activity, pricing a 10.5% chance for 72-73°F, while lower outcomes reflect negligible risk. Monitor hourly NWS updates and real-time observations through afternoon for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 12?
74°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 6.6%
70-71°F 2.1%
55°F or below <1%
$54,625 Vol.
$54,625 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
89%
74°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 6.6%
70-71°F 2.1%
55°F or below <1%
$54,625 Vol.
$54,625 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 82°F in Dallas on April 12, driving the 89% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher at Dallas Love Field, well above the April climatological normal of 77°F. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm southerly flow and above-normal spring conditions per NOAA's outlook, with only a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms likely insufficient to significantly suppress peaks despite potential isolated cloud cover. Trader consensus acknowledges minor uncertainty from convective activity, pricing a 10.5% chance for 72-73°F, while lower outcomes reflect negligible risk. Monitor hourly NWS updates and real-time observations through afternoon for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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