Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a peak of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flow limiting rapid changes. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (54.5%) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies. Persistent warm advection from the south and limited cloud cover or rainfall in the latest runs support the upper end of the range, though any unexpected monsoon surge or increased convection could cap temperatures near 36°C. Historical August maxima in the Pearl River Delta frequently reach these levels when anticyclonic conditions dominate. Updated model runs and official bulletins tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for further shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 8 de agosto?
38°C 55%
37°C 28%
39°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOVO
$12,383 Vol.
NOVO
$12,383 Vol.
8 ago 2026
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
28%
38°C
55%
39°C
12%
40°C
3%
41°C ou mais
<1%
38°C 55%
37°C 28%
39°C 12%
36°C 5%
NOVO
$12,383 Vol.
NOVO
$12,383 Vol.
8 ago 2026
31°C ou menos
$487 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$560 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$634 Vol.
1%
35°C
$484 Vol.
1%
36°C
$452 Vol.
5%
37°C
$965 Vol.
28%
38°C
$4,015 Vol.
55%
39°C
$1,607 Vol.
12%
40°C
$1,038 Vol.
3%
41°C ou mais
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a peak of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flow limiting rapid changes. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (54.5%) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies. Persistent warm advection from the south and limited cloud cover or rainfall in the latest runs support the upper end of the range, though any unexpected monsoon surge or increased convection could cap temperatures near 36°C. Historical August maxima in the Pearl River Delta frequently reach these levels when anticyclonic conditions dominate. Updated model runs and official bulletins tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,383Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a peak of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flow limiting rapid changes. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (54.5%) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies. Persistent warm advection from the south and limited cloud cover or rainfall in the latest runs support the upper end of the range, though any unexpected monsoon surge or increased convection could cap temperatures near 36°C. Historical August maxima in the Pearl River Delta frequently reach these levels when anticyclonic conditions dominate. Updated model runs and official bulletins tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,383Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from regional models indicate a peak of 37–38°C in Guangzhou on August 8 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and weak steering flow limiting rapid changes. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 38°C (54.5%) and 37°C (24.5%), reflecting trader consensus on official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies. Persistent warm advection from the south and limited cloud cover or rainfall in the latest runs support the upper end of the range, though any unexpected monsoon surge or increased convection could cap temperatures near 36°C. Historical August maxima in the Pearl River Delta frequently reach these levels when anticyclonic conditions dominate. Updated model runs and official bulletins tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst for further shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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