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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?

abr 11

abr 12

abr 13

abr 11

abr 12

abr 13

23°C 38%

22°C 27%

24°C 19%

21°C 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

23°C 38%

22°C 27%

24°C 19%

21°C 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

17°C or below

$217 Vol.

1%

18°C

$217 Vol.

1%

19°C

$636 Vol.

3%

20°C

$130 Vol.

5%

21°C

$37 Vol.

12%

22°C

$156 Vol.

27%

23°C

$181 Vol.

38%

24°C

$183 Vol.

19%

25°C

$484 Vol.

6%

26°C

$355 Vol.

2%

27°C or higher

$109 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,706
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,706
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "23°C" at 38%, followed by "22°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?" is "23°C" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.