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Geopolítica·Recompensas 50, 4,5, 100

Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)

Market icon
Geopolítica·Recompensas 50, 4,5, 100

Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)

abr 19

abr 19

40-49 27%

50-59 21%

30-39 19%

20-29 10%

Polymarket

$37,126 Vol.

40-49 27%

50-59 21%

30-39 19%

20-29 10%

Polymarket

$37,126 Vol.

<10

$8,789 Vol.

<1%

10-19

$7,836 Vol.

1%

20-29

$3,404 Vol.

10%

30-39

$2,332 Vol.

19%

40-49

$1,874 Vol.

27%

50-59

$2,082 Vol.

21%

60-69

$1,757 Vol.

9%

70-79

$1,857 Vol.

4%

80+

$7,196 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 30-59 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, with 40-49 leading at 27.5%, reflecting fragile US-Iran ceasefire terms capping daily passages at 12-15 amid a US naval blockade targeting Iran-bound vessels. Ship-tracking data from Kpler and IMF PortWatch show recent daily counts fluctuating between 6-16, including mostly Iran-linked tankers, as 14 vessels turned back under US enforcement since April 13 and sea mines linger as hazards. This keeps the race competitive, hinging on weekend compliance, potential US tanker insurance launches, and Islamabad diplomatic talks; escalation signals or freer commercial flows could push toward 60+ or below 30. Resolution awaits IMF PortWatch confirmation of total transit calls.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volume
$37,126
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 30-59 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during April 13-19, with 40-49 leading at 27.5%, reflecting fragile US-Iran ceasefire terms capping daily passages at 12-15 amid a US naval blockade targeting Iran-bound vessels. Ship-tracking data from Kpler and IMF PortWatch show recent daily counts fluctuating between 6-16, including mostly Iran-linked tankers, as 14 vessels turned back under US enforcement since April 13 and sea mines linger as hazards. This keeps the race competitive, hinging on weekend compliance, potential US tanker insurance launches, and Islamabad diplomatic talks; escalation signals or freer commercial flows could push toward 60+ or below 30. Resolution awaits IMF PortWatch confirmation of total transit calls.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volume
$37,126
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 13, 2026, through April 19, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-49" at 27%, followed by "50-59" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)" has generated $37.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)" is "40-49" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-59" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos navios transitam pelo Estreito de Ormuz esta semana? (13 a 19 de abril)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.