Market icon
Economia·Guerra Comercial

Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?

Market icon
Economia·Guerra Comercial

Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?

Sim

22% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

22% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 social media announcement threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran does not qualify for market resolution, as it lacks reference to a specific country or set of countries and appears as a broad warning rather than a formal tariff imposition tied explicitly to military cooperation with Iran. This follows a Supreme Court ruling in February 2026 striking down unilateral presidential tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, curtailing executive authority and casting doubt on implementation. Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire hailed by Trump as a step toward peace, traders price just a 21% Yes chance before the April 17 deadline, reflecting de-escalation signals and legal hurdles over further escalatory measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.

Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.

A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.

Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,113
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 8 social media announcement threatening 50% tariffs on any country supplying military weapons to Iran does not qualify for market resolution, as it lacks reference to a specific country or set of countries and appears as a broad warning rather than a formal tariff imposition tied explicitly to military cooperation with Iran. This follows a Supreme Court ruling in February 2026 striking down unilateral presidential tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, curtailing executive authority and casting doubt on implementation. Amid a fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire hailed by Trump as a step toward peace, traders price just a 21% Yes chance before the April 17 deadline, reflecting de-escalation signals and legal hurdles over further escalatory measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support.

Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution.

A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran.

Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,113
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces the creation of any new tariffs or any increase in existing tariffs on a specific country in relation to that country's military cooperation with Iran between market creation and April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Military cooperation refers to a country directly assisting Iran on military or defense matters, including supplying arms, weapons, intelligence, or other military support. Only tariffs targeting a specific country or set of countries will qualify. For example, a new global tariff or other broadly applicable tariff measure imposed on all imports into the United States will not count toward this market’s resolution. A qualifying tariff or tariff increase must be imposed in response to the affected country's military cooperation with Iran. If that reason is stated in the official announcement of a tariff, it will be sufficient. If the reason is not stated in the official announcement, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to determine whether the tariff was imposed in response to that country supplying weapons to Iran. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariffs go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump anunciará tarifas ao país que armar o Irã até 17 de abril?" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?" is "Trump anunciará tarifas ao país que armar o Irã até 17 de abril?" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump anuncia tarifas sobre o país armando o Irã até 17 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.