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icon for As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

icon for As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?

$102,768 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$102,768 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$1,801 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding districts since June 2026, reflect efforts to dismantle Hezbollah infrastructure amid a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire that has seen repeated violations. Israel has seized strategic positions such as the Ali al-Taher ridge near Nabatieh and maintains a security zone in parts of the south, while conducting demolitions and strikes in Tyre district villages like Al-Mansouri as recently as September 2026. Hezbollah drone and rocket activity continues to prompt Israeli responses, with over 4,380 reported Lebanese deaths and significant displacement since fighting intensified in March. Trader assessments hinge on whether ground incursions expand into Tyre itself or remain limited to airstrikes and border-adjacent control, influenced by any new diplomatic progress or escalatory incidents within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$102,768
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding districts since June 2026, reflect efforts to dismantle Hezbollah infrastructure amid a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire that has seen repeated violations. Israel has seized strategic positions such as the Ali al-Taher ridge near Nabatieh and maintains a security zone in parts of the south, while conducting demolitions and strikes in Tyre district villages like Al-Mansouri as recently as September 2026. Hezbollah drone and rocket activity continues to prompt Israeli responses, with over 4,380 reported Lebanese deaths and significant displacement since fighting intensified in March. Trader assessments hinge on whether ground incursions expand into Tyre itself or remain limited to airstrikes and border-adjacent control, influenced by any new diplomatic progress or escalatory incidents within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$102,768
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de setembro" at 7%, followed by "31 de maio" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" has generated $102.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" is "30 de setembro" at just 7%, with "31 de maio" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "As forças israelitas entram em Tiro por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.