Forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed introduces modest uncertainty around the exact low. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, so current guidance reflects a slightly warmer anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this consensus range and potential for greater cooling if winds calm further or cloud cover remains absent, producing closely matched probabilities across cooler and warmer bins. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara no dia 3 de setembro?
24°C ou mais 89%
14°C ou menos 48%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
14°C ou menos
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C ou mais
89%
24°C ou mais 89%
14°C ou menos 48%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
14°C ou menos
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C ou mais
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. These conditions favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C, though ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed introduces modest uncertainty around the exact low. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima of 14–15°C, so current guidance reflects a slightly warmer anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this consensus range and potential for greater cooling if winds calm further or cloud cover remains absent, producing closely matched probabilities across cooler and warmer bins. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the outlook ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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