**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support. The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Busan em 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Busan em 11 de setembro?
19°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$891 Vol.
$891 Vol.
11 set 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$891 Vol.
$891 Vol.
11 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$35 Vol.
Não
16°C
$35 Vol.
Não
17°C
$30 Vol.
Não
18°C
$135 Vol.
Não
19°C
$159 Vol.
Sim
20°C
$141 Vol.
Não
21°C
$256 Vol.
Não
22°C
$25 Vol.
Não
23°C
$25 Vol.
Não
24°C
$25 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support.
The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$891Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support.
The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$891Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus strongly favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on September 11, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** This reflects real-time meteorological data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 6–8 mph, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. Multiple forecast models, including those from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration, align on these conditions typical for mid-September as seasonal transition reduces daytime heating while preventing rapid radiative cooling. Historical September lows in Busan average near 18–20°C, providing climatological support. The market-implied odds would shift only with significant late-day changes, such as increased cloud cover trapping heat or an unexpected shift in wind patterns raising the minimum above 20°C. Official station measurements, which resolve the market, remain the key variable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions