Recent forecasts from official and meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Chengdu on September 4, 2026, under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure system producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 2–5 km/h. This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with dew points around 17–19°C supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32–34°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–22°C because model guidance shows minimal disagreement on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, though slight variations in overnight wind or localized mountain convection could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows near 20–21°C, and the current pattern aligns with typical early-autumn conditions absent any incoming frontal systems. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the precise cooling rate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu no dia 4 de setembro?
19°C ou menos 94%
20°C 94%
23°C 94%
24°C 94%
19°C ou menos
94%
20°C
94%
21°C
51%
22°C
51%
23°C
94%
24°C
94%
25°C
93%
26°C
94%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C ou mais
92%
19°C ou menos 94%
20°C 94%
23°C 94%
24°C 94%
19°C ou menos
94%
20°C
94%
21°C
51%
22°C
51%
23°C
94%
24°C
94%
25°C
93%
26°C
94%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C ou mais
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official and meteorological sources point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Chengdu on September 4, 2026, under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure system producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 2–5 km/h. This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with dew points around 17–19°C supporting efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 32–34°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–22°C because model guidance shows minimal disagreement on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, though slight variations in overnight wind or localized mountain convection could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the region average lows near 20–21°C, and the current pattern aligns with typical early-autumn conditions absent any incoming frontal systems. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the precise cooling rate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions