**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de maio?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,619 Vol.
$15,619 Vol.
1 mai 2026
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,619 Vol.
$15,619 Vol.
1 mai 2026
16°C ou menos
$541 Vol.
Não
17°C
$532 Vol.
Não
18°C
$1,392 Vol.
Não
19°C
$1,302 Vol.
Não
20°C
$893 Vol.
Não
21°C
$2,040 Vol.
Não
22°C
$4,473 Vol.
Sim
23°C
$595 Vol.
Não
24°C
$1,477 Vol.
Não
25°C
$792 Vol.
Não
26°C ou mais
$1,582 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,619Data de Término
1 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,619Data de Término
1 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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