Mild overnight conditions driven by southerly to southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover from an unsettled Atlantic weather pattern are positioning 17°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on August 29, with 18°C a close second. Official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate nighttime minima around 16–17°C, as showers and high humidity limit radiative cooling compared to typical late-August clear skies. Recent model runs show consistency in this range amid ongoing thundery activity, with minimal risk of sharper drops below 16°C unless drier air advects in overnight. Historical August minima average near 14°C, but current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal persistence from earlier in the month. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 29 de agosto?
17°C 56%
18°C 32%
16°C 15%
15°C 3%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
56%
18°C
32%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 56%
18°C 32%
16°C 15%
15°C 3%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
56%
18°C
32%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mild overnight conditions driven by southerly to southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover from an unsettled Atlantic weather pattern are positioning 17°C as the leading outcome for London's lowest temperature on August 29, with 18°C a close second. Official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate nighttime minima around 16–17°C, as showers and high humidity limit radiative cooling compared to typical late-August clear skies. Recent model runs show consistency in this range amid ongoing thundery activity, with minimal risk of sharper drops below 16°C unless drier air advects in overnight. Historical August minima average near 14°C, but current conditions reflect warmer-than-normal persistence from earlier in the month. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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