Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy early-September rainfall that erased Lucknow’s seasonal deficit, has introduced notable uncertainty into minimum temperature forecasts for September 3. Official IMD guidance and model consensus point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover, which typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near 24–26 °C, while any breaks in cloud or lighter rain could allow cooler readings below 22 °C. Conversely, reduced rainfall or stronger southerly flow could keep overnight temperatures closer to 27 °C or above. These variables—precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture—explain the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 21 °C or below, 27 °C, and 31 °C or higher, with traders awaiting updated NWP runs and local observations for clearer signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 3 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 70%
31°C ou mais 70%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
21°C ou menos
70%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
39%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
70%
21°C ou menos 70%
31°C ou mais 70%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
70%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$7 Vol.
39%
28°C
$6 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
3%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy early-September rainfall that erased Lucknow’s seasonal deficit, has introduced notable uncertainty into minimum temperature forecasts for September 3. Official IMD guidance and model consensus point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover, which typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near 24–26 °C, while any breaks in cloud or lighter rain could allow cooler readings below 22 °C. Conversely, reduced rainfall or stronger southerly flow could keep overnight temperatures closer to 27 °C or above. These variables—precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture—explain the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 21 °C or below, 27 °C, and 31 °C or higher, with traders awaiting updated NWP runs and local observations for clearer signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$43Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy early-September rainfall that erased Lucknow’s seasonal deficit, has introduced notable uncertainty into minimum temperature forecasts for September 3. Official IMD guidance and model consensus point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover, which typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near 24–26 °C, while any breaks in cloud or lighter rain could allow cooler readings below 22 °C. Conversely, reduced rainfall or stronger southerly flow could keep overnight temperatures closer to 27 °C or above. These variables—precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture—explain the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 21 °C or below, 27 °C, and 31 °C or higher, with traders awaiting updated NWP runs and local observations for clearer signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy early-September rainfall that erased Lucknow’s seasonal deficit, has introduced notable uncertainty into minimum temperature forecasts for September 3. Official IMD guidance and model consensus point to widespread thundershowers and persistent cloud cover, which typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near 24–26 °C, while any breaks in cloud or lighter rain could allow cooler readings below 22 °C. Conversely, reduced rainfall or stronger southerly flow could keep overnight temperatures closer to 27 °C or above. These variables—precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture—explain the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 21 °C or below, 27 °C, and 31 °C or higher, with traders awaiting updated NWP runs and local observations for clearer signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions