Recent short-term forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on September 16, with guidance clustering between roughly 9–14°C amid an approaching frontal system. Thunderstorms and showers expected during the day, combined with shifting westerly to southwesterly winds, introduce uncertainty in radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Some solutions favor clearer intervals allowing temps to dip toward single digits, while others maintain cloud cover and moisture that could hold lows near 13–14°C. This genuine meteorological variability underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and warmer thresholds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily minimum from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 16 de setembro?
18°C ou mais 78%
8°C ou menos 77%
11°C 39%
17°C 39%
8°C ou menos
77%
9°C
19%
10°C
18%
11°C
39%
12°C
27%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C ou mais
78%
18°C ou mais 78%
8°C ou menos 77%
11°C 39%
17°C 39%
8°C ou menos
77%
9°C
19%
10°C
18%
11°C
39%
12°C
27%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C ou mais
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on September 16, with guidance clustering between roughly 9–14°C amid an approaching frontal system. Thunderstorms and showers expected during the day, combined with shifting westerly to southwesterly winds, introduce uncertainty in radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Some solutions favor clearer intervals allowing temps to dip toward single digits, while others maintain cloud cover and moisture that could hold lows near 13–14°C. This genuine meteorological variability underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and warmer thresholds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily minimum from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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