Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely ranging from 10–12°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow bringing cooler, moist Atlantic air and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.9°C for the date, with recent years recording 8.5–10.2°C, supporting trader focus on the 8°C-or-below and 9–11°C bins that together hold over 90% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing, with updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 17 de setembro?
8°C ou menos 100%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C ou menos
100%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
19%
13°C
11%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C ou mais
5%
8°C ou menos 100%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C ou menos
100%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
19%
13°C
11%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C ou mais
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely ranging from 10–12°C, driven by a shift to westerly flow bringing cooler, moist Atlantic air and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical climatology shows an average low of 9.9°C for the date, with recent years recording 8.5–10.2°C, supporting trader focus on the 8°C-or-below and 9–11°C bins that together hold over 90% implied probability. Model consensus remains moderate due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing, with updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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