Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 8 de setembro?
16°C 99.5%
13°C 1.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
12°C <1%
$11,817 Vol.
$11,817 Vol.
8 set 2026
11°C ou menos
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C ou mais
Não
16°C 99.5%
13°C 1.0%
11°C ou menos <1%
12°C <1%
$11,817 Vol.
$11,817 Vol.
8 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$997 Vol.
Não
12°C
$241 Vol.
Não
13°C
$157 Vol.
Não
14°C
$221 Vol.
Não
15°C
$625 Vol.
Não
16°C
$1,092 Vol.
Sim
17°C
$2,200 Vol.
Não
18°C
$1,115 Vol.
Não
19°C
$1,134 Vol.
Não
20°C
$2,263 Vol.
Não
21°C ou mais
$1,773 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,817Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,817Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Latest meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and global ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 16°C on September 8 under moderate westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and dew points around 12°C that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn but runs warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 12.3°C, reducing odds of sub-15°C readings. Traders weigh these real-time data against historical variability, where rare cooler outbreaks have occurred but current steering patterns and pressure fields make 16°C the dominant market-implied outcome at 90%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions