**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 28°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Shanghai-specific updates, project daytime highs near 32–33°C with lows holding at or just above 28°C amid high humidity and dew points around 25–27°C. This strong consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing stable warm advection, underpins the market's overwhelming 98.2% implied probability for 28°C. Unusually clear conditions or sharper-than-expected wind shifts could allow temperatures to dip to 27°C, though current observational trends and forecast stability make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 27 de agosto?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$22,181 Vol.
$22,181 Vol.
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$22,181 Vol.
$22,181 Vol.
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
$856 Vol.
No
24°C
$258 Vol.
No
25°C
$310 Vol.
No
26°C
$663 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,406 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,983 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$7,952 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,099 Vol.
No
32°C
$327 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$228 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 28°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Shanghai-specific updates, project daytime highs near 32–33°C with lows holding at or just above 28°C amid high humidity and dew points around 25–27°C. This strong consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing stable warm advection, underpins the market's overwhelming 98.2% implied probability for 28°C. Unusually clear conditions or sharper-than-expected wind shifts could allow temperatures to dip to 27°C, though current observational trends and forecast stability make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,181Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 28°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Shanghai-specific updates, project daytime highs near 32–33°C with lows holding at or just above 28°C amid high humidity and dew points around 25–27°C. This strong consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing stable warm advection, underpins the market's overwhelming 98.2% implied probability for 28°C. Unusually clear conditions or sharper-than-expected wind shifts could allow temperatures to dip to 27°C, though current observational trends and forecast stability make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,181Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
**Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models converge on a minimum temperature of 28°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Shanghai-specific updates, project daytime highs near 32–33°C with lows holding at or just above 28°C amid high humidity and dew points around 25–27°C. This strong consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing stable warm advection, underpins the market's overwhelming 98.2% implied probability for 28°C. Unusually clear conditions or sharper-than-expected wind shifts could allow temperatures to dip to 27°C, though current observational trends and forecast stability make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions