Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate an overnight low near 14–16°C in Warsaw on August 29, driven by a weakening high-pressure system over northern Europe allowing increased cloud cover and light showers that limit radiative cooling. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out in the early morning hours under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, consistent with climatological August minima around 15°C. Model consensus supports the closely matched 13°C and 15°C market outcomes as the most probable, with limited downside risk below 12°C absent stronger advection of cooler air. Updated runs from ECMWF and local agencies later today will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 29 de agosto?
15°C 45%
13°C 44%
14°C 27%
16°C 26%
11°C or below
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
44%
14°C
27%
15°C
45%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
13°C 44%
14°C 27%
16°C 26%
11°C or below
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
44%
14°C
27%
15°C
45%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate an overnight low near 14–16°C in Warsaw on August 29, driven by a weakening high-pressure system over northern Europe allowing increased cloud cover and light showers that limit radiative cooling. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out in the early morning hours under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, consistent with climatological August minima around 15°C. Model consensus supports the closely matched 13°C and 15°C market outcomes as the most probable, with limited downside risk below 12°C absent stronger advection of cooler air. Updated runs from ECMWF and local agencies later today will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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