Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa PA-16
Vencedor da eleição da casa PA-16
$32,821 Vol.
$32,821 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Democrata
11%
$32,821 Vol.
$32,821 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$20,705 Vol.
88%
Partido Democrata
$12,116 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,821Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,821Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Kelly holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The solidly Republican-leaning seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Both parties’ primaries concluded in May with Kelly and Democrat Justin Wagner advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunity for an upset. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered that outlook in recent weeks. Wagner’s background as a veteran and engineer has not yet produced measurable movement in the race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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