Democratic incumbent Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term anchors the strong trader consensus in Rhode Island's 2026 Senate contest. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2000, combines with Reed's long tenure and recent polling margins of roughly 30 points or more against Republican primary contender Raymond McKay. Primary contests on September 9, 2026, feature limited Democratic opposition and a weak Republican field, reinforcing expectations of continuity. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan swing, though current evidence shows no signs of such disruption.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$10,338 Vol.
$10,338 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
96%
Republicano
4%
$10,338 Vol.
$10,338 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
$6,748 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$3,590 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term anchors the strong trader consensus in Rhode Island's 2026 Senate contest. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2000, combines with Reed's long tenure and recent polling margins of roughly 30 points or more against Republican primary contender Raymond McKay. Primary contests on September 9, 2026, feature limited Democratic opposition and a weak Republican field, reinforcing expectations of continuity. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan swing, though current evidence shows no signs of such disruption.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$10,338Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term anchors the strong trader consensus in Rhode Island's 2026 Senate contest. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2000, combines with Reed's long tenure and recent polling margins of roughly 30 points or more against Republican primary contender Raymond McKay. Primary contests on September 9, 2026, feature limited Democratic opposition and a weak Republican field, reinforcing expectations of continuity. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan swing, though current evidence shows no signs of such disruption.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,338Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jack Reed's bid for a sixth term anchors the strong trader consensus in Rhode Island's 2026 Senate contest. The state's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2000, combines with Reed's long tenure and recent polling margins of roughly 30 points or more against Republican primary contender Raymond McKay. Primary contests on September 9, 2026, feature limited Democratic opposition and a weak Republican field, reinforcing expectations of continuity. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Potential shifts remain possible through late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unforeseen national partisan swing, though current evidence shows no signs of such disruption.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions