Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko from the September 2026 State Duma elections on August 10 after upholding a Rodina party lawsuit, following the Central Election Commission's earlier registration of the party's federal list. The 5% proportional-representation threshold applies only to parties on the ballot, and Yabloko's removal—amid documented administrative pressure on candidates, including disqualifications and extremism-related cases—has eliminated any realistic path to clearing it. Polling had placed the party near or slightly above 3-5% in limited surveys, consistent with its 1.3% result in 2021, while systemic constraints on opposition lists reinforce the outcome. An appeal or procedural reversal before voting remains possible in principle but faces high institutional barriers in the current environment.