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PolíTica Dos EUA previsões e probabilidades

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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

98%

May 31

$3M Vol.

$185K today

$450K Liq.

69

Ends em 10 dias

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

82%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$321K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

12

Ends em 6 meses

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

21%

$11.3K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$564M Vol.

$1M today

$26M Liq.

876

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$308K Liq.

72

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$480K Liq.

162

Ends em 6 meses

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$145K Liq.

6

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$233K Liq.

36

Ends em 6 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$214K Vol.

$94.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

83%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$394K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

20%

125-130m

$6.9K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

15%

Democrats 10-12%

$31.4K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

30%

December 31, 2026

$100K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$77.3K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

9

Ends em 6 meses

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

86%

$39.8K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

6

Ends em 7 meses

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

47%

$24.2K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

26%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$53M Liq.

707

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$598M Vol.

$1M today

$23M Liq.

376

Ends em mais de 2 anos

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

43%

Tom Steyer

$16M Vol.

$343K today

$3M Liq.

44

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica Dos EUA.

Polymarket currently hosts 396 active markets for PolíTica Dos EUA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue wave in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica Dos EUA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.