Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal passage late Saturday into Easter Sunday, introducing cooler mid-level air and below-normal highs around 68-73°F versus April 5 climatological normals near 78°F. Persistent low-level clouds, breezy southerly winds shifting northwest, and possible lingering showers will limit boundary-layer mixing and solar heating, differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF exhibit modest spread in peak afternoon temperatures due to frontal timing uncertainty, with new 12z model runs expected Friday to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 12%
$11,990 Объем
$11,990 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
7%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 14%
66-67°F 12%
$11,990 Объем
$11,990 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
55°F or below
$3,731 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$2,360 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$696 Объем
2%
60-61°F
$501 Объем
3%
62-63°F
$504 Объем
3%
64-65°F
$322 Объем
6%
66-67°F
$770 Объем
12%
68-69°F
$396 Объем
20%
70-71°F
$492 Объем
22%
72-73°F
$545 Объем
24%
74°F or higher
$1,670 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal passage late Saturday into Easter Sunday, introducing cooler mid-level air and below-normal highs around 68-73°F versus April 5 climatological normals near 78°F. Persistent low-level clouds, breezy southerly winds shifting northwest, and possible lingering showers will limit boundary-layer mixing and solar heating, differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF exhibit modest spread in peak afternoon temperatures due to frontal timing uncertainty, with new 12z model runs expected Friday to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Объем
$11,990Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal passage late Saturday into Easter Sunday, introducing cooler mid-level air and below-normal highs around 68-73°F versus April 5 climatological normals near 78°F. Persistent low-level clouds, breezy southerly winds shifting northwest, and possible lingering showers will limit boundary-layer mixing and solar heating, differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF exhibit modest spread in peak afternoon temperatures due to frontal timing uncertainty, with new 12z model runs expected Friday to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$11,990Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal passage late Saturday into Easter Sunday, introducing cooler mid-level air and below-normal highs around 68-73°F versus April 5 climatological normals near 78°F. Persistent low-level clouds, breezy southerly winds shifting northwest, and possible lingering showers will limit boundary-layer mixing and solar heating, differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF exhibit modest spread in peak afternoon temperatures due to frontal timing uncertainty, with new 12z model runs expected Friday to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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