Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors maximum temperatures of 24–25°C for Buenos Aires on April 13, with nearly equal implied probabilities reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects a high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible morning showers and humid southerly flows, but traders price in upside risk from reduced cloud cover allowing fuller diurnal heating, following early April's persistent warm air mass with record minimums around 24°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing, high-level cloud variability, and lapse rate efficiency amid above-normal humidity; new SMN bulletins and 12z model runs on April 11–12 could shift the balance as resolution nears. Historical April maxima average 22–23°C, underscoring the tight contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
23°C 20%
26°C 11.4%
$10,484 Объем
$10,484 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
23°C 20%
26°C 11.4%
$10,484 Объем
$10,484 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$662 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,708 Объем
<1%
20°C
$841 Объем
1%
21°C
$902 Объем
3%
22°C
$1,002 Объем
7%
23°C
$889 Объем
20%
24°C
$376 Объем
30%
25°C
$589 Объем
31%
26°C
$1,606 Объем
11%
27°C
$1,127 Объем
5%
28°C or higher
$783 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors maximum temperatures of 24–25°C for Buenos Aires on April 13, with nearly equal implied probabilities reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects a high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible morning showers and humid southerly flows, but traders price in upside risk from reduced cloud cover allowing fuller diurnal heating, following early April's persistent warm air mass with record minimums around 24°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing, high-level cloud variability, and lapse rate efficiency amid above-normal humidity; new SMN bulletins and 12z model runs on April 11–12 could shift the balance as resolution nears. Historical April maxima average 22–23°C, underscoring the tight contest.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$10,484Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors maximum temperatures of 24–25°C for Buenos Aires on April 13, with nearly equal implied probabilities reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects a high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible morning showers and humid southerly flows, but traders price in upside risk from reduced cloud cover allowing fuller diurnal heating, following early April's persistent warm air mass with record minimums around 24°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing, high-level cloud variability, and lapse rate efficiency amid above-normal humidity; new SMN bulletins and 12z model runs on April 11–12 could shift the balance as resolution nears. Historical April maxima average 22–23°C, underscoring the tight contest.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,484Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors maximum temperatures of 24–25°C for Buenos Aires on April 13, with nearly equal implied probabilities reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects a high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with possible morning showers and humid southerly flows, but traders price in upside risk from reduced cloud cover allowing fuller diurnal heating, following early April's persistent warm air mass with record minimums around 24°C. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing, high-level cloud variability, and lapse rate efficiency amid above-normal humidity; new SMN bulletins and 12z model runs on April 11–12 could shift the balance as resolution nears. Historical April maxima average 22–23°C, underscoring the tight contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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