Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF are converging on a high near 85°F for Denver on March 25, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies amplifying downslope chinook winds that compress and heat air masses descending from the Front Range. This setup drives trader sentiment toward the tightly bunched 80-89°F bins at 17% each, reflecting model consensus amid low cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk. Slight differentiation arises from ensemble spreads: warmer GFS outliers push toward 88-89°F, while cooler Euro runs favor 82-83°F; historical March precedents show similar ridges yielding 80-87°F peaks 70% of the time. Traders await today's 12z updates, as wind gusts above 30 mph could tip outcomes higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
86-87°F 17%
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF are converging on a high near 85°F for Denver on March 25, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies amplifying downslope chinook winds that compress and heat air masses descending from the Front Range. This setup drives trader sentiment toward the tightly bunched 80-89°F bins at 17% each, reflecting model consensus amid low cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk. Slight differentiation arises from ensemble spreads: warmer GFS outliers push toward 88-89°F, while cooler Euro runs favor 82-83°F; historical March precedents show similar ridges yielding 80-87°F peaks 70% of the time. Traders await today's 12z updates, as wind gusts above 30 mph could tip outcomes higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы