Trader sentiment for Wuhan's March 25 highest temperature clusters tightly around 18-22°C outcomes due to split ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, with ECMWF projecting 21-22°C under clear skies and southerly flow, while GFS favors 18-19°C amid incoming cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary. Recent mild anomalies—yesterday's 20°C high exceeding seasonal norms—bolster warmer bets, but historical March 25 data averaging 17°C and potential overnight cooling introduce downside risk. Trader-implied odds hinge on today's 00Z updates, as low model spread signals high uncertainty in peak daytime heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 25?
18°C 30%
20°C 26%
21°C 22%
19°C 20%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
30%
19°C
20%
20°C
26%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
32%
18°C 30%
20°C 26%
21°C 22%
19°C 20%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
30%
19°C
20%
20°C
26%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Wuhan's March 25 highest temperature clusters tightly around 18-22°C outcomes due to split ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, with ECMWF projecting 21-22°C under clear skies and southerly flow, while GFS favors 18-19°C amid incoming cloud cover from a weak frontal boundary. Recent mild anomalies—yesterday's 20°C high exceeding seasonal norms—bolster warmer bets, but historical March 25 data averaging 17°C and potential overnight cooling introduce downside risk. Trader-implied odds hinge on today's 00Z updates, as low model spread signals high uncertainty in peak daytime heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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