Trader consensus favors 14°C or higher at 32% for Seoul's March 22 high, propelled by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projecting peaks near 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and weak southerly flows. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster tightly between 12-14°C, with subtle divergences tied to cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing—key differentiators for the neck-and-neck 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (21.5%) odds. Historical March averages around 12°C provide baseline context, but recent mild advection from high-pressure ridges over East Asia has warmed early spring patterns, tempering cold snap risks per upper-air diagnostics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
14°C or higher 32%
12°C 26%
13°C 22%
11°C 15%
$73,952 Объем
$73,952 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
15%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C or higher
32%
14°C or higher 32%
12°C 26%
13°C 22%
11°C 15%
$73,952 Объем
$73,952 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
15%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 14°C or higher at 32% for Seoul's March 22 high, propelled by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projecting peaks near 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and weak southerly flows. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster tightly between 12-14°C, with subtle divergences tied to cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing—key differentiators for the neck-and-neck 12°C (25.5%) and 13°C (21.5%) odds. Historical March averages around 12°C provide baseline context, but recent mild advection from high-pressure ridges over East Asia has warmed early spring patterns, tempering cold snap risks per upper-air diagnostics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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