Trader sentiment on Shenzhen's March 24 high temperature is fragmented, with 28°C edging out at 26% amid near-equal odds across 20–30°C+ outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting ensemble means of 27–29°C but with wide spreads from cloud-induced cooling or urban heat amplification. Official data from the China Meteorological Administration indicates southerly monsoon flows introducing humidity and potential thunderstorms, tempering peaks, while historical March 24 averages hover at 25.5°C (1991–2020 baseline), skewed higher by recent El Niño residuals and anthropogenic warming trends. Differentiating factors include sea-breeze moderation versus concrete heat retention; traders await 00Z model refreshes for resolution clarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 24?
28°C 27%
24°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
20°C or below
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
18%
28°C 27%
24°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
20°C or below
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Shenzhen's March 24 high temperature is fragmented, with 28°C edging out at 26% amid near-equal odds across 20–30°C+ outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting ensemble means of 27–29°C but with wide spreads from cloud-induced cooling or urban heat amplification. Official data from the China Meteorological Administration indicates southerly monsoon flows introducing humidity and potential thunderstorms, tempering peaks, while historical March 24 averages hover at 25.5°C (1991–2020 baseline), skewed higher by recent El Niño residuals and anthropogenic warming trends. Differentiating factors include sea-breeze moderation versus concrete heat retention; traders await 00Z model refreshes for resolution clarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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