Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Chongqing's highest temperature on March 21 at 20-22°C, fueling trader sentiment for 21°C or higher (41% implied probability) amid early spring warming from southerly flows and urban heat island amplification. Historical March highs average 17-19°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent model convergence above norms—following a mild cold snap—elevates 20°C (25.5%) and mid-teens like 15°C (25.5%) as contenders, reflecting 2-3°C forecast uncertainty. Sub-14°C odds fade with no signals of Arctic air masses, positioning higher buckets as leading outcomes pending final local observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 21 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 21 марта?
14°C 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
19°C 26%
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
24%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
21%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C или выше
41%
14°C 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
19°C 26%
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
10%
13°C
24%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
21%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C или выше
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Chongqing's highest temperature on March 21 at 20-22°C, fueling trader sentiment for 21°C or higher (41% implied probability) amid early spring warming from southerly flows and urban heat island amplification. Historical March highs average 17-19°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent model convergence above norms—following a mild cold snap—elevates 20°C (25.5%) and mid-teens like 15°C (25.5%) as contenders, reflecting 2-3°C forecast uncertainty. Sub-14°C odds fade with no signals of Arctic air masses, positioning higher buckets as leading outcomes pending final local observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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