Tight odds reflect ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, projecting Chongqing's March 20 high between 15-17°C amid persistent cool northerly flow from a recent cold front, suppressing temperatures 1-2°C below the 18°C March climatological average. Differentiating factors include diurnal solar insolation—partial cloud breaks could boost 16-17°C outcomes (42-41% implied)—while thicker overcast favors 15°C (38%), and outlier warmer GFS runs hint at 19°C+ (38%) if winds shift southerly. CMA local guidance centers on 16°C, with urban heat island effects adding ~1°C variability; traders eye afternoon updates on frontal erosion for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 20 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 20 марта?
17°C 42%
19°C или выше 2.2%
18°C 1.4%
13°C <1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
37%
16°C
44%
17°C
42%
18°C
1%
19°C или выше
2%
17°C 42%
19°C или выше 2.2%
18°C 1.4%
13°C <1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
37%
16°C
44%
17°C
42%
18°C
1%
19°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight odds reflect ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, projecting Chongqing's March 20 high between 15-17°C amid persistent cool northerly flow from a recent cold front, suppressing temperatures 1-2°C below the 18°C March climatological average. Differentiating factors include diurnal solar insolation—partial cloud breaks could boost 16-17°C outcomes (42-41% implied)—while thicker overcast favors 15°C (38%), and outlier warmer GFS runs hint at 19°C+ (38%) if winds shift southerly. CMA local guidance centers on 16°C, with urban heat island effects adding ~1°C variability; traders eye afternoon updates on frontal erosion for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы