Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 31°C or below at 49% implied probability, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a maximum of 30-32°C amid lingering effects of a recent western disturbance bringing cooler northerly winds and cloud cover. Historical March data for Lucknow shows average maxima around 33°C, but this year's early spring dip—yesterday's observed high of 29.5°C—supports subdued heating from dry soil and low humidity. Ensemble models from IMD and private forecasters like Skymet align on limited solar insolation, positioning 32°C (29%) as the next likely outcome, with hotter scenarios above 35°C receding as heatwave risks remain low pre-summer onset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 49%
32°C 29%
33°C 10%
35°C 8%
31°C or below
49%
32°C
29%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
31°C or below 49%
32°C 29%
33°C 10%
35°C 8%
31°C or below
49%
32°C
29%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature on March 23 heavily favors 31°C or below at 49% implied probability, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a maximum of 30-32°C amid lingering effects of a recent western disturbance bringing cooler northerly winds and cloud cover. Historical March data for Lucknow shows average maxima around 33°C, but this year's early spring dip—yesterday's observed high of 29.5°C—supports subdued heating from dry soil and low humidity. Ensemble models from IMD and private forecasters like Skymet align on limited solar insolation, positioning 32°C (29%) as the next likely outcome, with hotter scenarios above 35°C receding as heatwave risks remain low pre-summer onset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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