Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 30°C or below in Lucknow at 48.5%, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime maxima around 29-31°C on March 22 amid lingering cool northerly winds from recent western disturbances. These conditions follow a pattern of below-average March temperatures in Uttar Pradesh, where historical averages hover near 32°C but have dipped due to dry northwesterly flows suppressing heat buildup. Ensemble models from IMD and global centers like ECMWF align on mild conditions, with low humidity and clear skies limiting solar heating; sharper rises to 35°C+ remain improbable without sudden heatwave onset, as evidenced by satellite-derived temperature anomalies showing deficits over northern India. Upcoming hourly observations will refine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
30°C or below 49%
31°C 23%
33°C 8.8%
32°C 9%
$18,747 Объем
$18,747 Объем
30°C or below
49%
31°C
23%
32°C
9%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
30°C or below 49%
31°C 23%
33°C 8.8%
32°C 9%
$18,747 Объем
$18,747 Объем
30°C or below
49%
31°C
23%
32°C
9%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 30°C or below in Lucknow at 48.5%, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting daytime maxima around 29-31°C on March 22 amid lingering cool northerly winds from recent western disturbances. These conditions follow a pattern of below-average March temperatures in Uttar Pradesh, where historical averages hover near 32°C but have dipped due to dry northwesterly flows suppressing heat buildup. Ensemble models from IMD and global centers like ECMWF align on mild conditions, with low humidity and clear skies limiting solar heating; sharper rises to 35°C+ remain improbable without sudden heatwave onset, as evidenced by satellite-derived temperature anomalies showing deficits over northern India. Upcoming hourly observations will refine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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