Ensemble weather models from global forecasting centers like ECMWF and GFS drive the razor-thin odds spread, converging on a Shenzhen high of 26-28°C for March 22 amid partly cloudy skies and moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea. This clusters probabilities around 27°C (26.5%) and peers like 26°C, 28°C, and 30°C+, reflecting urban heat island effects potentially pushing peaks 1-2°C above rural baselines, against March historical averages near 24°C. Recent model updates cite increased afternoon cloud cover trimming earlier 29°C projections, while 23°C or below lags due to ongoing warm anomaly; traders eye hourly observations for precise maxima resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 22?
20°C or below 29%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
25°C 26%
20°C or below
29%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
18%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
26%
20°C or below 29%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
25°C 26%
20°C or below
29%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
18%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from global forecasting centers like ECMWF and GFS drive the razor-thin odds spread, converging on a Shenzhen high of 26-28°C for March 22 amid partly cloudy skies and moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea. This clusters probabilities around 27°C (26.5%) and peers like 26°C, 28°C, and 30°C+, reflecting urban heat island effects potentially pushing peaks 1-2°C above rural baselines, against March historical averages near 24°C. Recent model updates cite increased afternoon cloud cover trimming earlier 29°C projections, while 23°C or below lags due to ongoing warm anomaly; traders eye hourly observations for precise maxima resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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