Trader sentiment on Shenzhen's highest temperature March 21 heavily favors 25°C at 52% implied probability, reflecting ensemble weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks around 24-26°C amid subtropical spring norms where historical March highs average 23-25°C. Recent developments include a slight warming shift in the latest model runs, influenced by persistent ridging and residual El Niño effects boosting regional heat, with yesterday's 24°C high setting a baseline. Lower odds for extremes stem from low wind shear and stable humidity forecasts, reducing outlier risks, while traders eye afternoon updates from China Meteorological Administration for potential recalibration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 марта?
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 22%
18°C или ниже
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
17%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C или выше
22%
25°C 44%
24°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 22%
18°C или ниже
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
17%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C или выше
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Shenzhen's highest temperature March 21 heavily favors 25°C at 52% implied probability, reflecting ensemble weather model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks around 24-26°C amid subtropical spring norms where historical March highs average 23-25°C. Recent developments include a slight warming shift in the latest model runs, influenced by persistent ridging and residual El Niño effects boosting regional heat, with yesterday's 24°C high setting a baseline. Lower odds for extremes stem from low wind shear and stable humidity forecasts, reducing outlier risks, while traders eye afternoon updates from China Meteorological Administration for potential recalibration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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